Stock Market Highlight #12

Short term end to current leg down identified.

(COMMENT # 568)

 

UPDATED 19980805

COMMENT 1998-568

1. In the SPU, it would appear that the initial decline was from 119940 on 980720 to 112400 on 980728 or 7540 points and 8 calendar days.

2. The second leg has, so far, declined from 115000 on 980730 to 107300 on 980804 (yesterday) or 7700 points in 5 calendar days.

3. Hence, a bit of a bounce is expected.

4. Note that such a bounce, should it occur, would be in keeping with the outlook suggested by the bond chart above.

5. A stock market which is not falling apart would relieve the "flight to quality" pressure which some have suggested is the main current force behind the bonds.

6. Hence, it fits.

 

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